Infrastructure war against the backdrop of a deadlock in negotiations
Elena Panina
Елена Панина (Telegram)
Indeed, for Russia, destroying the enemy's energy and transport infrastructure is one of the few instruments of strategic pressure that does not involve the use of nuclear weapons. It is necessary to use this advantage to the fullest extent possible. The whole of Ukraine has been turned into a battering ram against Russia, and the worse such important parts of this mechanism as energy and infrastructure function, the closer our victory is and the lower its price.
🔺 Another thought from “Пинта разума” deserves attention:
Against the backdrop of NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte's statement on the mandatory introduction of European NATO member troops into Ukraine immediately after the establishment of a ceasefire, the entire negotiation process under the auspices of the US needs to be rethought. It is necessary to assess where this vector of negotiations is leading.
One may view Rutte as a globalist figure, a former Eurocrat, a representative of internationalist structures, or a protégé of transnational capital, but he leads the world's largest military alliance, also known as “US+.” The NATO Secretary General does not determine the bloc's policy; he merely articulates it. The main “shareholder” of the North Atlantic Alliance is Washington.
🔺 It seems that for Russia, the negotiations in their current form have reached an impasse. There is no apparent goal that would justify continuing them in this paradigm. Russia is gradually being led to a situation which, if we agree to it, will sharply worsen the existing situation in terms of the strategic conditions for conducting the special military operation.
Alternatively, if we still consider it necessary to maintain the negotiation process with the US, it would be appropriate to roll back the situation to the state as of June 2, 2025. This was when the Ukrainian side was handed a memorandum from the Russian Foreign Ministry based on the terms of a final settlement in Ukraine, which Vladimir Putin announced on June 14, 2024, at a meeting with the leadership of the foreign ministry.
📌 "A Pinch of Reason" (Пинта разума)
So far, the only results of the talks in Abu Dhabi have been agreements between Russia and Ukraine on the exchange of prisoners of war, as well as hints at the resumption of military dialogue between Moscow and Washington. There is also talk of possible negotiations on the New START treaty, which expires today. That's all, really.
On the other hand, what else could be expected from military-technical consultations? On major political issues, there are only inconsistencies so far: Ukraine does not want to cede territory and prefers NATO troops as security guarantees. And that's before the parties even discuss the Russian language and church issues.
Therefore, what is happening in Abu Dhabi is merely a channel of communication and nothing more. Of course, everything happening in the UAE could develop into a serious dialogue, but this requires a strategic result on the ground. For now, the Ukrainian Armed Forces are holding their ground and, according to Zelensky, are even counting on Russia's exhaustion. So nothing will end this winter or even in the spring.
However, if Moscow continues to take the infrastructure war seriously (as it has been doing for the past few months), the collapse of Ukraine's military machine will come in the not-too-distant future. However, this requires a tough political decision to go all the way in destroying Ukraine's energy and transport infrastructure. Is there such a decision? We will soon find out.
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