The year began turbulently
Dmitry Medvedev / Telegram
Dept. Chairman of the Russian Security Council
1. First and foremost, its beginning will be remembered for Maduro's abduction. Of course, this is rude and despicable, or, to put it nicely, a universal catastrophe in the sphere of international relations.
And today, there are only two scenarios: either the US will quietly release the kidnapped Venezuelan president under a plausible pretext (the probability of this is insignificant), or he will become the new Latin American Mandela (most likely). Then his name will be inscribed in the annals of South American history alongside Bolívar, Miranda, and Chávez.
And even if Trump, out of stubbornness, does not pardon Maduro after some time, Vance or another successor to Trump will surely do so under public pressure.
Yes, oil is a key factor here. But even with oil, things will not be easy. What if the current Venezuelan authorities do not want to share it with the Americans in the long run? Will Trump really launch a ground operation? This would definitely require congressional approval, and it would be much bloodier than Maduro's brazen kidnapping. The Senate has just put a noose around Trump's neck, curbing his militaristic fervor. And does the current administration really need this? Doubtful.
And another thing. I noted this immediately after the sabbath staged by the Yanks: after this, the American elites – both Republican and Democratic – should stick their long tongues up their rickety asses for good. And simply acknowledge Russia's legitimacy during the SVO.




























